Abstract
The Balkan Peninsula is a climate change hotspot, yet its temperature variability in relation to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) remains insufficiently investigated. Using 0.1° × 0.1° ERA5-Land data from 7,262 grid cells, this study examines seasonal and annual air-temperature variability during 1950–2024 and its statistical relationship with AMOC variability during 1993–2023. ERA5-Land temperatures show close agreement with observations from 10 meteorological...
Abstract
ERA5-Land and GPCC data (at 0.1° and 0.25° resolution, respectively) cover the Balkan Peninsula with 7,297 and 1,496 grid cells. The reanalysis datasets show a very high level of agreement with in situ measurements in Montenegro, although precipitation is underestimated in mountainous areas. In the region of about 550,000 km
2
, for the period 1950–2024, ERA5-Land (GPCC) indicates decreases in seasonal and annual...
ABSTRACT
After 2000, Montenegro has been hit by several severe droughts. The results presented in this study were based on the analysis of the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) for the period 1961–2020. They showed the prevalence of a negative trend in both indices and a significantly higher frequency of drought in the second half of the observed period (1991–2020). The SPEI index is a more representative...
Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in
this research was Deliblatska pescara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most
endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the
Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant
decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing
trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There
was also an increase in the...
Abstract
In this article, we examine the spatial pattern and trend in aridity in Montenegro from 1961 until 2020. We use temperature and precipitation observational records from 18 weather stations to calculate three aridity (climate) indices: the De Martonne aridity index (IDM), the Lang’s rain factor (RF), and the Pinna combinative index (IP). On an annual scale, all of these three indices show humid to extreme humid atmospheric conditions in Montenegro. At the seasonal and monthly level,...
